We are continue to be misled by mainstream media, oil companies and their advisors alike up to a point of self-delusion. Not only when it comes to climate change and its causes, but about matters of peak supply and demand as well. The message is clear: there can be no doubt that we will prevail as a high-tech society forever — with or without fossil fuels. This notion, however, is driven by ignorance and blind optimism. What we are facing is neither peak demand nor peak supply but a collapse in energy use, something completely unseen by most commentators. Might it be, despite all this, that forecasts made by advocates of peak oil demand will prove to be right in the end…?
They know, for at least 20 years now. Of course they are not the same guys/gals, as back then... All they hope for that it will not happen under their watch.
Incidentally, one of the main economic newspaper in France just published an article today stating that French diesel and gazoline demand has fallen by 1.3% since January. After a 1.6% fall since 2019.
It is supposed to be some good news. But not enough yet to reach government decarbonization target.
Unfortunately, I can't get the full article. So it's hard to say to what this decline is attributable. Higher prices for one thing but probably a first hint of a much touted successful transition to EV. Or so they would say...
Yes I've seen this too in my local area. An increase in all types of personal electric vehicles such as bikes and scooters, and a few fully electric cars, but mostly an uptick in hybrids.
And a substantial number of people have switched to getting their food delivered but this is still obviously done with diesel vans.
I predict that a plug and play cross purpose energy solution will pop up just as things reach peak bleak.
Partly wishful thinking but why not. I have nothing to lose by putting all my money on the wildest card possible at this stage in the game.
If we can get a little conspiratorial for a second, imagine that the global elite have this game all planned out for the next hundred years. They know oil is done, but instead of introducing a valid replacement, they milk it for all it's worth, allow things to get a little wild, have people begging on their knees for a solution, and then drop a surprise package so they can live large as the saviors of humanity once again.
At least that's what I would do if I was harboring some secret energy tech in the DUMBs and wanted to stay top dog for the next hundred years or two.
Maybe you could introduce it as a gift from aliens or some such to spice things up a little.
We can survive and have high quality of life, just not quantity or high-tech solutions. It will take some more work but not nearly as much stress as we've inflicted on ourselves in the Industrial age. Our population will drastically decline, sadly, but it is a mistake in thinking to view this as the same as the end of humanity. We have a good shot at creating something far better than what we've had.
Interesting analysis of petroleum and the products from it's distillation. Indeed, plastics and Group V lubricants are made from the ligher fractions of refining. What doesn't get utilized gets burned off at the stack, instead of becoming a shopping bag or heating a home.
Run out of sand? Quoting Popular Mechanics is a bit like quoting Wikipedia or Snopes.
Thank you B🙏
Thanks NOF.
NOF, Fast Eddy, NOF. Did I just insult you or compliment you? I have no idea. It's your acronym, Fast Eddy; I don't know what it means.
It's an insider joke for THS.
Bang on.
I'm presuming TPTB know all this?
(I wouldn't say they're stupid. They are. But I wouldn't say it! 🤪)
They know, for at least 20 years now. Of course they are not the same guys/gals, as back then... All they hope for that it will not happen under their watch.
Incidentally, one of the main economic newspaper in France just published an article today stating that French diesel and gazoline demand has fallen by 1.3% since January. After a 1.6% fall since 2019.
It is supposed to be some good news. But not enough yet to reach government decarbonization target.
Unfortunately, I can't get the full article. So it's hard to say to what this decline is attributable. Higher prices for one thing but probably a first hint of a much touted successful transition to EV. Or so they would say...
https://www.lesechos.fr/industrie-services/energie-environnement/essence-diesel-la-demande-de-carburants-amorce-lentement-son-declin-en-france-1976926
And (e-)bikes. Seems to be some resurgence in cycle commuting in European cities, though have no idea of the numbers.
Yes I've seen this too in my local area. An increase in all types of personal electric vehicles such as bikes and scooters, and a few fully electric cars, but mostly an uptick in hybrids.
And a substantial number of people have switched to getting their food delivered but this is still obviously done with diesel vans.
It looks more like a sign of decreased economic activity and travel to me.
I predict that a plug and play cross purpose energy solution will pop up just as things reach peak bleak.
Partly wishful thinking but why not. I have nothing to lose by putting all my money on the wildest card possible at this stage in the game.
If we can get a little conspiratorial for a second, imagine that the global elite have this game all planned out for the next hundred years. They know oil is done, but instead of introducing a valid replacement, they milk it for all it's worth, allow things to get a little wild, have people begging on their knees for a solution, and then drop a surprise package so they can live large as the saviors of humanity once again.
At least that's what I would do if I was harboring some secret energy tech in the DUMBs and wanted to stay top dog for the next hundred years or two.
Maybe you could introduce it as a gift from aliens or some such to spice things up a little.
We can survive and have high quality of life, just not quantity or high-tech solutions. It will take some more work but not nearly as much stress as we've inflicted on ourselves in the Industrial age. Our population will drastically decline, sadly, but it is a mistake in thinking to view this as the same as the end of humanity. We have a good shot at creating something far better than what we've had.
Interesting analysis of petroleum and the products from it's distillation. Indeed, plastics and Group V lubricants are made from the ligher fractions of refining. What doesn't get utilized gets burned off at the stack, instead of becoming a shopping bag or heating a home.
Run out of sand? Quoting Popular Mechanics is a bit like quoting Wikipedia or Snopes.