10 Comments
Jul 31, 2023Liked by The Honest Sorcerer

Thank you B🙏

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Jul 31, 2023Liked by The Honest Sorcerer

Laying out the whole process A to Z is enlightening. The bottom-line truth is disappointing in the way it cuts magical thinking off at the knees. Psychologically we want the magic and not the hard work of staying simple so we don’t destroy the ecosystems we need to live in a Goldilocks climate (which was nature’s magical gift to us). The pursuit of human magical energy destroys nature’s exquisite magical balance.

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Jul 31, 2023Liked by The Honest Sorcerer

Very well explained, B. Thank you. Now if only the U.S. government would read this, too. It is clear they have not: https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/USEERE/bulletins/368323e

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My favourite solar panel story ever!

Electrician is replacing the extraction fan that sits about my coal/wood burner (irony!)... and telling me how he installed solar - cost over 50k (but he saved about 10k doing some of the install himself)...

I ask him if it works well in the winter -- not really he says -- but I charge the batteries at night from the mains.... when the power is cheap.

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Thank you for this. Our solar installer admitted to me that I’m the last of his clients with a system working after only just 4 years. Everyone else’s inverter has failed (and repair costs make it cheaper to replace!!??) and everyone else has had to replace their batteries. Our panels are still fine but the inverter is definitely on its last legs. Definitely not something that’s sustainable.

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Haha! you ask too many questions! Imagine Prius owners reading this article. LOL.

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Comment to B blo…ack re Solar.docx

B. Im a life long energy engineer

now retired. Email:

CaptBirdFish@gmail.com

. I read your blog on

EROEI of solar panels and then landed this your substack

piece on mineral abundance; I agree the public

has been drastically fooled into believing solar is a net zero miracle. I see you follow Simon Michaux

whom I recently heard in a debate he had on Critical Planet youtube about renewables’ certain

shortfa

lls due to raw materials mining and manufacturing impossibilities. At the end of Simon’s debate

he was asked by moderator to inject a high note optimistic idea. He responded with an advanced

nuclear reactor design: liquid thorium fission which he had jus

t heard about. You might want to look

deeper into that since you appear to be discounting nuclear fission and fusion (always promised but

technically not in the near future I agree). You seem to be discounting uranium fission reactors due to

minable ura

nium being finite, expensive to mine and mill, and energy intensive. Thorium as a feedstock

is fertile not fissionable. It breeds a fissionable isotope in the reactor which fissions at 98% efficiency vs

2% in present day reactors. Thorium is plentiful fo

rever. Furthermore a thorium breeder reactor

(designed and tested USA, exported to China in 2009) breeds more fissionable fuel than it consumes in

operation. Here’s what I sent to to Critical Planet moderator (and indirectly Simon) after his debate on

C

ritical Planet:

Why not advanced nuclear?..truly renewable, unlimited as a resource and absolutely green with the

least externalities of all energy forms. China is already there. It seems that Simon has discounted

China’s nuclear dominance. Why? He

re is the back story on China nuclear dominance and therefore its

future energy dominance...strategically and geopolitically more important than the debate on lowest

energy density renewables

which continue after 15 years to satisfy about 3% of energy dema

nd and

will stay that way.

The story of

the Liquid

Fluoride

Thorium Reactor LFTR is told in Richard Martin’

s

2012

book: Thorium

Superfuel

, the Green Energy ...Future)...

a few$

used

at Abe or Thrift books

. ...

the story of ex

-

NASA

engineer Kirk Sorenson who resurr

ected the test reports from Oak Ridge lab and started his own

company (FLIBE Energy) with intent to build LFTRs in the USA.

In

2009 as the US economy

crashed, t

he

US Dept of Energy signed an agreement with Chi

na to export LFTR tech to China.

Many nuclear

engineers in the USA questioned that decision.

I at the time was working in the defense industry

and tried with colleagues

to get the US military and

industry to study this LFT

R

rea

ctor that could not melt down,

used abundant cheap thorium,

and

produced

no long lived nuclear waste.

We wrote our

congressional leaders to enact legislation

(accomplished) to allow start

-

ups

like FLIBE Energy to

access

grants and

pay US nuclear regulators

such

th

at prototypes

would be developed in the USA and not

solely

Chin

a. However

in the past 15 years t

he

funding commitments to nuclear

startups have

been token

and slow

--

such that $50 milli

on average

for

a license to des

ign

/build

out of reach for most innovators.

The funding to renewables has been order of magnit

ude

s greate

r and accelerating

despite

Solar/Wind/Batteries historical

v

ery

small capacity to supply even

3 percent of

global energ

y demand...

at great mining expense

as dis

cussed by Simon

...

and great

expen

diture of fossil fuels for

mining,

manufacture the solar/wind products and

to dispose or recycle them....all to

the economic benefit of

China who

,

as Simon states

,

controls the supply chain of raw materials and

k

ey components in

Solar/

Wind farms.

Simon states

Western countries

do

not ackno

wledge t

he

(unavailabe) amount of

raw materials

needed

f

or a

renewables

-

based energy econom

y.

T

his leads to the conclusion that it is

impossible to have a renewables

based economy to preserve the s

tatus quo

for

shelter,

transport,

agriculture, water, and

clean air.

I agree.

Therefore he postulates a

new society of small scale organic

farming,

l

ess energy use

,

and a

circular

economy

of

recycling

/

reuse

. Recycle/reuse:

I cannot see

practical as that also requires

energy

and new technologies for manufac

turing of recyclable everything.

S

imon

envisions a new global society ...ideologically

recast

for

world peace, cooperation,

bartering,

and

technological breakthroughs

. I’d offer that LFTR

(nuclear fission)

is definitely a disruptive breakthrough

already

here in China

.

The geopolitical question is simply one of time period” When China drops small

saf(er) reactors in the footprints of coal plants and sells these reactors throughout Asia and Africa

,

will

this encourage world peace as it brings bil

lions of

people out of poverty?

Oliver Stone has just produced an ideological recast

documentary

Nuclear Now

He is

careful (

all

-

audience

,

po

litically correct)

not to attack

renewables rather

he

debunk

s the belief

that nucl

ear is

dangerous , rather he shows correctly

it has the least harmful externalities of all current energy

systems.

NNow is available on Amazon Prime and other streamers for $3 to rent.

Also Kirk Sorensen

and the Thorium reactor movement remains prominen

t on the internet/youtube.

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What is missing in this article are calculations. How much all the processes described here cost vs how much energy a panel produces on average during its lifetime. Without those this piece is just stating the process to produce panels is complex and not really green, which most people know already, but it does not state or prove if the whole energy balance is positive or negative.

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This gratuitously snidely biased trope might have managed to attain some credence had it

proposed a preferred superior alternative and done the deep dive on that. The implicit covert message is: "Keep burning fossil fuels. They are better in every way and have no negative collateral effects."

It regurgitates the non-original fraud-trope that the PV panels have a definitive fixed lifespan of 25 years after which they ALL must be scrapped simultaneously. The reality is that most of the 25 year old systems continue to function. There is some incremental degradation but nothing of the order to justify the gratuitous straw-manning

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The point of the article which you intentionally ignored is that solar panels aren't possible without the burning of fossil fuels. And he did provide alternatives. The future is going to be local, low-energy, and low-tech.

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